Постсоветский украинский радикальный суверенизм в сравнительной перспективе: ультранационалистические партии и этноцентричное негражданское общество
Оценка избирательных позиций партийно-политического ультранационализма в постсоветской Украине. Развитие после Евромайдана 2013-2014 гг., во время "гибридной войны" России против Украины. Анализ праворадикального политического спектра в настоящее время.
Рубрика | Политология |
Вид | статья |
Язык | русский |
Дата добавления | 08.06.2022 |
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В целом Украина остается скорее положительным европейским исключением что касается недавного международного роста суверенизма. Она не только в 2019 г. включила в свою Конституцию цель вступления в ЕС и НАТО. Украина и отличается, пока-что, устойчивым иммунитетом ее избирателей в отношении ультраправых партий и, как результат, низкого влияния радикальных националистов на центральную политику в Киеве (Umland 2013b). Как, среди других, указывает Мыкола Рябчук, та поддержка, которой исторические и современные ультранационалистические лидеры и организации пользуются в украинском обществе, часто не столько связана с расизмом и тоталитаризмом их идеологии, сколько с их жесткой позицией и жертвенной борьбой за независимость Украины (Riabchuk 2016; Ryabchuk 2017). Тем не менее, то, что после «Революции достоинства» общественное присутствие «негражданских» групп в украинской местной и культурной жизни в некоторых аспектах выросло, настораживает. Дифференциация организационного и интеллектуального спектра украинского правого радикализма с 2014 года продолжается (Rabe 2019).
К тому же, к началу 2021 года наметился некий относительный рост популярности партийного правого радикализма. Правда, от этой тенденций пока выигрывает только партия «Свобода». В таблицах пресс-релизов Киевского международного института социологии (КМИС) другие праворадикальные партии часто даже не упоминаются. К февралю 2021 года «Свобода» приблизилась в опросе КМИСа к своему результату на парламентских выборах 2014 года.
Таблица 2: Рейтинг партии «Свобода» на гипотетических выборах в Верховную Раду Украины (НгиБИе1Б'куу 2021)
Декабрь 2020 г. |
Январь 2021 г. |
Февраль 2021 г. |
|||||
среди всех респ-ов |
среди тех, кто определился |
среди всех респ-ов |
среди тех, кто определился |
среди всех респ-ов |
среди тех, кто определился |
||
«Свобода» |
1,8% |
2,8% |
2,3% |
3,6% |
2,9% |
4,4% |
Вышеперечисленные явления и растущее общественное уважение к историческому украинскому ультранационализму - в первую очередь, к бандеровской фракции Организации украинских националистов 1940-х годов - представляют собой новые взаимодействующие характеристики современной украинской общественной жизни (UmLand&Yurchuk2017-2021). Они, как и другие политически неоднозначные тенденции, тесно связаны с гибридной войной России против Украины с 2014 года (Fedor2015). В своей сумме они представляют собой проблематичные черты постмайданной Украины, несущие в себе опасность, как дестабилизации внутри украинского государства, так и новых напряжений в международных отношениях Киева (UmLand 2016c; Bornio2018). В самом худшем случае не исключено, что Украина в будущем может последовать за недавними антилиберальными поворотами других стран Центрально-Восточной Европы.
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