Disappearing professions: labor market transformation in the condition of modernization challenges of post-industrial society

Размещено на http://www.allbest.ru/

DISAPPEARING PROFESSIONS: LABOR MARKET TRANSFORMATION IN THE CONDITION OF MODERNIZATION CHALLENGES OF POST-INDUSTRIAL SOCIETY

N.M. Kovtun

О.P. Polishchuk

Yu.V. Kovtu

Abstract

The article draws attention to the social challenges and human trials that have arisen during the modern digitalization of production, everyday life, everyday life, leisure and education. The article reveals the peculiarities and factors of the processes of disappearance or transformation of professions in industrial and post-industrial societies. The aim of the article is a socio-philosophical analysis of professions and professional fields that have a high risk of extinction under the influence of automation, robotics and digitalization of production process.

Based on the method of comparative analysis, it is established that in the conditions of automation, robotics and digitalization professions and jobs associated with monotonous, including empirical intellectual work that does not require creative thinking (such as librarians and archivists, work of civil servants on registration of various types of documentation, certificates, etc.) got endangered. It is proved that another important segment of robotics and automation is the field of heavy, manual or monotonous physical labor. In the coming decades the control of machines in these segments of production will be completely automated. As a result, such professions as bricklayer, miner, taxi driver, public transport driver and others are threatened with extinction.

In the coming years the largest number of jobs and professions will be lost in the middle segment of professional activity, where stereotyped monotonous functions are performed. At the same time, in the field of low-skilled, manual, low-prestige manual labor, even in the developed countries, these vacancies will not disappear yet. The work of low-skilled workers, primarily migrant workers, costs production owners less than the introduction of expensive automated and robotic systems. At the same time, in the digital society of the future, professions will be shifted to the Internet, many of the current professions will be renamed with the addition of «Internet», such as «Internet marketer», «Internet psychologist», «Internet lecturer» and others.

Key words: Disappearing Professions, Social Uncertainty, Social Risks, Human Trials, Everyday Life, Automation, Robotics, Digitalization, Industry 4.0.

Анотація

ПРОФЕСІЇ, ЯКІ ЗНИКАЮТЬ: ТРАНСФОРМАЦІЯ РИНКУ ПРАЦІ В УМОВАХ МОДЕРНІЗАЦІЙНИХ ВИКЛИКІВ ПОСТІНДУСТРІАЛЬНОГО СУСПІЛЬСТВА.

Наталія Ковтун/Nataliia Kovtun, доктор філософських наук, професор (Житомирський державний університет імені Івана Франка).

Олена Полішук/Olena Polishchuk, доктор філософських наук, професор (Житомирський державний університет імені Івана Франка) .

Юрій Ковтун /Yuriy Kovtun, кандидат філософських наук, викладач (Житомирський міський ліцей № 1).

У статті привернуто увагу до соціальних викликів і випробувань людини, що виникли при сучасній діджиталізації виробництва, повсякденного життя, побуту, дозвілля та освіти. Розкрито особливості та чинники процесів зникнення або трансформації професій в індустріальному і постіндустріальному суспільствах. Метою статті є соціально-філософський аналіз професій і професійних напрямів, які мають високий ризик зникнення під впливом автоматизації, роботизації і діджиталізації виробництва.

З'ясовано, що на початку ХХІ століття професійний простір як країн центру, так і периферії світ-системи, характеризується появою онлайн-професій, невпинною роботизацією та діджиталізацією виробництва і сфери послуг. Якщо у минулому столітті людина, отримавши вузьку професійну орієнтацію, могла все життя пропрацювати на одному робочому місці, то в умовах четвертої індустріальної революції людина повинна мати широкий діапазон професійних компетентностей і бути готовою кожні 3-5 років змінювати і робоче місце, і професію.

На основі методу порівняльного аналізу встановлено, що в умовах автоматизації, роботизації і діджиталізації під загрозою зникнення опиняються професії і робочі місця, пов'язані з монотонною, зокрема емпіричною інтелектуальною роботою, яка не потребує творчого мислення (як-от, професії бібліотекаря і архіваріуса, робота державних службовців щодо оформлення різних типів документації, довідок та ін.). Доведено, що іншим важливим сегментом роботизації і автоматизації залишається сфера важкої, ручної або монотонної фізичної праці. Вже у наступні десятиліття керування машинами у цих сегментах виробництва буде мати виключно автоматизований характер. Внаслідок цього під загрозою зникнення опиняються такі професії, як будівельник-каменяр, шахтар, водій таксі, водій комунального транспорту та ін.

Найбільша кількість робочих місць і професій у наступні роки буде втрачена у середньому сегменті професійної активності, де здійснюються стереотипізовані монотонні функції. Водночас у сфері малокваліфікованої, ручної, непрестижної фізичної праці навіть у розвинутих країнах світу означені вакансії поки що не зникнуть. Робота малокваліфікованих працівників, насамперед, трудових мігрантів, обходиться власникам виробництв дешевше, ніж упровадження дорогих автоматизованих і роботизованих систем. Водночас у діджиталізованому суспільстві майбутнього відбудеться зміщення професій у сферу Інтернету, багато з теперішніх професій отримають інше найменування з додаванням формулювання «інтернет», наприклад «інтернет-маркетолог», «інтернет-психолог», «інтернет-лектор» та ін.

Introduction of the issue

With the rapid introduction of the mechanisms of the fourth industrial revolution (automation, robotics, internetization, digitalization) into various spheres of production and maintenance in different regions of the world, and the projected reduction of jobs for people consequently, the study of the segment of professional orientations, where work

for people will remain, is extremely relevant. It is already clear that in the coming decades the labor market will undergo qualitative changes due to the emergence of hundreds and thousands of vacancies in new professions, which today can only be guessed. At the same time, any forecasting of the labor market of the future is impossible without the study of those professions that will disappear due to the accelerated technologicalization of production.

The urgency of the analysis of these issues in the Ukrainian reality is even more significant due to the war with Russia and the rapid degradation of the Ukrainian economy and Ukrainian society due to several controversial and often ill-considered modernization projects, lagging behind of the Ukrainian economy compared to the development of the center of the world system, mass unemployment among the citizens of our country and mass labor migration, the actual absence of the middle class and the poverty of a great part of citizens of Ukraine and others. In such conditions, the professional orientation of young people to promising professions in a robotic society and the conscious avoidance of occupations that have a high risk of extinction remains an important area of socio-philosophical research.

Current state of the issue.

Analysis of the processes of disappearance or transformation of the labor market in an industrial and post-industrial society is a well-developed scientific problem. In this regard, the systematic study of the reasons for the decline of the silk industry in Syria in the twentieth century made by Ahmet Ta§gin and Marcello Mollica is noteworthy [1]. Of particular importance in the context of the study of disappearing professions is a comprehensive study of the impact of computerization on the US labor market by Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne [2]. In it, researchers predicted the rapid computerization of production, which employs low-skilled workers with low wages. At the same time, a number of researchers, namely Nir Jaimovich, Henry Siu, Matias Cortes [3], [4] point out that the biggest losses are expected by those professional groups that are engaged in monotonous template works.

In turn, the Australian researcher Peter Fleming predicted that in the conditions of robotization of production, work for people will remain. However, it will require less skill and responsibility, and therefore will be low paid [5]. In general, a significant number of researchers and experts of consulting companies agree on the disappearance of many professions due to automation and robotization of production, especially in the field of monotonous low-skilled production functions. At the same time, the need to identify key segments of professions doomed to extinction or transformation in the context of the fourth industrial revolution is one of the unresolved issues in this area.

Aim of research is a sociophilosophical analysis of professions and professional fields that have a high risk of extinction under the influence of automation, robotics and digitalization of production.

Discussion and results

The processes of automation of production and services are not something qualitatively new in human history. They have accompanied at least four stages of industrialization, beginning with the introduction of James Watt's steam engine technology (1784). Naturally, the automation and introduction of technological innovations in different historical periods led to the disappearance of some professions and the formation of entire clusters of new professional orientations. At the same time, resistance from workers who faced the threat of imminent unemployment often accompanied automation processes. Clear evidence of these processes was the spontaneous social movement of the Luddites against the introduction of machine production in Britain in the late eighteenth early nineteenth century. social challenge digitization robotization

We should note that in the XIX first half of the XX century professions related to the maintenance of urban infrastructure were quite common. Among them there should be mentioned the professions of chimney sweeps, lanterns, rat-catchers, shoe shiners, and others. The profession of chimney sweep was rightly considered respected in society, as chimney sweeps prevented fires that were catastrophic in densely populated cities.

Significant transformation of the labor market also determines the evolution of the use of certain concepts to denote professions. Thus, in the nineteenth century, the term «computer» was used to denote a person's professional affiliation as one «who computes; a reckoner; a calculator» [7]. In the next century, this concept began to be used to denote not the human profession, but a technical device with which large amounts of information are processed.

Along with technological innovations, another reason for the disappearance of professions is the change in people's cultural preferences. An eloquent example of such a reorientation is the once popular profession of shoe shiner. It disappears because the need to clean shoes disappeared. On the one hand, shoe cleaning has become an individual matter, and on the other hand, the decline of the shoe shiner profession has been due to increasing cleanliness on city streets due to asphalt pavement and construction of sidewalks.

Back in 2013, Oxford researchers BenediKt Frey and Michael Osborne published the results of a comprehensive study of the impact of computerization on the development of 702 professions in the US labor market. They found that in the United States, about 47% of total employment in the coming decades will be threatened by cuts due to computerization. At the same time, the level of wages and the level of education «exhibit a strong negative relationship with an occupation's probability of computerisation» [2:1]. Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne predicted a reduction in the current polarization of the labor market, which would limit computerization to segments of the labor market in low-skilled and low-paid occupations. At the same time, researchers expressed optimistic expectations that due to computerization tasks that are not subject to computerization will be redistributed, among low-skilled workers. As a result, employees will be forced to raise their own «creative and social intelligence» [2:45]. In other words, the adaptation of people to qualitatively new requirements of the labor market depends on their acquisition of creative and social competencies.

Another researcher, Tippins Karl, notes that the projected reduction of as much as six percent of the world's workforce is not such a dire scenario. In many cases, automation will not eliminate jobs, and automation and «artificial intelligence will help change job roles and increase employee efficiency» [8]. As a result, it can make business more successful and help increase employees' wages by stimulating consumption of goods and further economic growth.

Australian researcher Peter Fleming also took an active part in this discussion, arguing that in the conditions of automation and robotization of production and services, work for people will not disappear completely. It will remain, but radically transformed and not always for the benefit of man. The researcher emphasizes that jobs for humans during the robotization period «are considerably poorer in terms of skill, responsibility and pay» [5:24]. Fleming's concept of limited automation allows us to conclude that in the near future «increasingly lowskilled (be they unautomated or semiautomated) jobs are likely to flourish» [5:31]. Israeli scientist Albert Feldman is of a similar opinion, emphasizing that in fact, in today's world, virtually anyone can find a job: «There is no shortage of jobs in any country, but not every job has a salary that a person would consider worthy» [9]. Thus, in the future, the vast majority of people are projected to work in lowskilled and low-paid jobs. Instead, competition for prestigious high-paying jobs will only increase.

The international team of researchers led by Nir Jaimovich and Henry E. Siu also agrees on the reduction of human work in the field of monotonous production functions. Representatives of this group emphasize that the acceleration of robotics processes and job losses in the field of routine occupations occurs, especially during periods of economic decline [3]. In another study, Cortes, Guido Matias and Jaimovich, Nir found that in the United States over the past 35 years, declining production with routine occupations among people in some demographics is directly related to the disappearance of a significant part of occupations and rising unemployment in the segment of occupations with average wages. These demographic groups also accounted for a significant proportion of the unemployed among those who lost their jobs in the low-paid manual routine occupations [10].

Experts from the consulting McKinsey Company back in 2017 drew attention to the connection between the transformation of the labor market and the disappearance of routine occupations. According to their forecast, in the future robots will soon perform routine and semi-routine occupations, as well as mental work. These jobs now make up 51% of the U.S. economy: the salaries of accountants, lawyers, butchers, waiters, and drivers are about $ 2.7 trillion [11]. The decline in human employment in the segment of routine occupations is taking place against the background of the recovery and growth of various sectors of the world economy after the crisis caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.

Ukrainian researcher Yana Stepankovska drew attention to this aspect of automation. She believes that automation in modern enterprises affects, first of all, mid-level work. Although robotic systems are already capable of performing quite complex tasks, they «still cannot show artistic creativity or professionalism» [12]. In this regard, the team of authors of the study «Professions of the Future for Ukraine» argues that the decisive role in the automation of production is its belonging to the segment of medium complexity.

Thus, according to the Author's curve, developed by American researcher David Author on the basis of a comprehensive study of employment in various sectors of American industry from 1980 to 2005, there was an increase in employment among lowand high-skilled workers and reduced employment and automation among middle-skilled workers [13:25]. This is because today, computer programs are able to perform work of medium complexity on stereotyped patterns. In a broad sense, businesses are not yet ready to quickly automate and robotize production because of the high cost of such systems. Of particular interest are studies on the impact of robotics and digitalisation on the development of developing countries. In this regard, the conclusions of an international research group of Stefano Bellucci and Eric E. Otenyo on the impact of digitalisation on the African labor market are noteworthy. Researchers have concluded that job cuts for people in Africa are due to the fact that «Africa's digitisation index moves closer to the `emerging' and `transitional' stages of digitisation» [14:215]. Depending on the intensity of digitization in different countries of Africa, there is a rapid reduction in employment in previously popular video kiosks, among producers and duplicators of video films, video rental shops [14:213]. Instead, in the global context, the experts of the consulting McKinsey Company pointed out in 2017 the likelihood of a significant reduction in the number of jobs, and thus the disappearance of entire segments of the labor market. They predicted that by 2030, more than 800 million jobs could be lost due to automation, and 475 million workers would be laid off [11]. The authors of the report noted that at least 50% of production capacity in the world is already automated.

According to most researchers of automation and robotics, in particular Alfred Feldman, the main challenge for society in the context of robotics is the emergence of a «class of `extra people” [9]. According to various estimates, at least 30-40% of people in the coming decades, both in the developed world and in developing countries, will not be able to find work due to the disappearance of dozens of professions and inability to master the professions in demand in the postindustrial era.

Kenneth Terrell addressed this issue. He noted that in the week to August 15, 2020 alone in the United States, more than 1.1 million people applied to government agencies for unemployment [16]. Many of these unemployed once worked in restaurants, shops, theaters, gyms, closed as part of quarantine measures.

The gradual transformation and even the disappearance of the profession of a builder is associated with the increasing use of 3D technology, which can make a building in 24 hours without the involvement of a significant number of people. However, we should emphasize that the profession of a builder is unlikely to disappear in the near future. Most likely, we should talk about the emergence of a new profession the profession of builder-operator of robotic systems. Moreover, the number of jobs for human builders is in any case undergoing an irreversible reduction.

Most experts consider the profession of travel agents to be disappearing. In the future, it can remain only «in the elite segment, where it will be particularly appreciated that a person works with the client to order individually, not the program» [12]. Similar transformations will touch upon the profession of legal adviser, because even now almost all regulations have been transferred into electronic form and people can have free access to them. This profession is very likely to exist for people only in the elite segment of legal services.

The work of a literary editor or journalist is also under threat. According to Yana Stepankovska, Bloomberg has already laid off some staff, starting to use a computer program that writes stock market news much faster than journalists do [12]. According to consulting companies, over the next two decades, up to 95% of media tasks will be solved by artificial intelligence.

There already exist programs that not only translate texts from one language to another, but also are able to adapt it to a certain style, journalistic or scientific. These programs are not yet perfect and their texts need to be verified by humans, but in the long run the profession of interpreter may disappear. Especially since computer programs can already write not only news texts. In March 2016, the Japanese algorithm was able to reach the finals of a prestigious writing competition with a novel, which he also wrote [19]. The pressure of digitalization and internetization also affects the profession of lecturer and teacher of higher educational institution. According to Albert Feldman, in many modern universities, teachers are no longer present during the lecture, they record their content in advance. This has advantages, because the lecture material will be well thought out and well presented [9]. However, after a while the question will arise, where to get professional scientists who will agree to receive a salary once a year, and the university will use their achievements for as long as possible. As a result, many university staff are already facing the prospect of joining a cohort of «extra people” and therefore have to reorient to other professional fields.

Automation and robotization of production processes in various branches of production leads, on the one hand, to cheaper production and increase the level of productivity of any production process. At the same time, savings in production costs are associated with the absence of the need to pay wages to workers, provide social insurance, sick pay, etc. On the other hand, robotics inevitably leads to a massive rise in unemployment and the emergence of tens and hundreds of millions of «extra people». Lack of confidence in the ability to keep or get a job, which haunts many of our contemporaries, leads to a permanent feeling of hopelessness of their own lives, increasing levels of neurosis and mental disorders. In the long run, this can cause conditions for the growth of antisocial behavior and crime. The direct consequence of these processes is the impoverishment of a large part of the population and, as a consequence, a reduction in the birth rate.

In this regard, in the developed countries of the world testing of mechanisms for the introduction of unconditional basic income is already underway as well as mechanisms for the formation of a «new middle class» [20; 21]. In addition, the need to retrain a large part of the population to obtain occupations in demand in the labor market for people in a post-industrial society remains relevant. One of the ways to solve the problem of «extra» people, some researchers (Albert Feldman) consider life through rent, capital, pre-accumulated by the person or his parents. By the way, for example in the United States, «the category of people who do not benefit is 10-12%. And in countries where the cult of work is high (Japan, South Korea), people who do not «fundamentally» work 1-2% [9]. These are people who do not work at all, even from home, but live for their own pleasure.

Another researcher, Peter Fleming, is quite critical of Bill Gates and Elon Musk's initiatives to solve the problem of job loss for people with the idea of introducing a «robot tax». In contrast, he offers three ways to solve the problem of job loss for people.

First, the focus should be on developing and protecting the skills of human workers. Secondly, as the transfer of many people to temporary contracts, self-employment, has seriously undermined the collective union protection of workers, making them particularly vulnerable to regressive use of technology, it would be useful to introduce works councils and participatory budgets to democratize robotics. Third, the decentralization of the labor institution as a whole remains important in order to make people independent of the capricious labor market in the conditions of robotics by means of the introduction of a three-day working week, the introduction of unconditional basic income and others [5:32].

The transformation of many professions in a post-industrial society will take place by means of digitalization and the shift to the Internet. Therefore, the wording «Internet» can be added to the name of many professions, such as «Internet marketer», «Internet psychologist», «Internet lecturer» and others. Under the influence of accelerated robotics and digitalization, professions and jobs associated with monotonous empirical intellectual work that does not require creative thinking are endangered. In particular, such professions include the work of librarians and archivists, the work of civil servants on the design of various types of documentation, certificates, etc.

Based on the analysis of expert assessments and labor market statistics, it is substantiated that in the coming years the largest number of jobs and professions will be lost in the middle segment of professional activity, where there are stereotyped monotonous functions. On the other hand, in the field of low-skilled, manual, low-prestige manual labor, even in the developed countries of the world, these vacancies will not disappear yet, but they will be occupied mainly by migrant workers. The work of migrant workers is still much cheaper for production owners than the introduction of much more expensive automated, robotic systems. Another important segment of robotics and automation in post-industrialism is the field of heavy, manual or monotonous physical labor. Therefore, the forecasts of a large number of experts about the threat of extinction of such professions as builder-stonemason, miner, taxi driver, public transport driver, etc. are justified. It is very likely that in the coming decades the control of machines in these service segments will be automated.

Literature

1. Ahmet Ta§gin & Marcello Mollica. Disappearing Old Christian Professions in the Middle East: The Case of Diyarbakir Pushee-Makers. Middle Eastern Studies, 2015, 51:6, 922-931. DOI: 10.1080/00263206.2015.1044525.

2. Frey Carl Benedikt, Osborne Michael A. The future of employment: how susceptible are jobs to computerisation? University of Oxford. September 17, 2013. 72 p. E-resource. Access mode: https: / /www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/downloads/academic/future-of-employment.pdf (Last accessed: 21.01.2022).

3. Jaimovich Nir, Siu Henry E. Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2020, 102 (1), 129-147. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest a 00875. Eresource. Access mode: https: / /direct.mit.edu/rest/article-abstract/102 /1/ 129/58559 /Job-Polarization-and-Jobless-Recoveries?redirectedFrom=fulltext (Last accessed: 26.12.2021).

4. Cortes, Guido Matias; Jaimovich, Nir; Siu, Henry E. Disappearing routine jobs: Who, how, and why? Economics, 2017, Volume 91, 69-87. E-resource. Access mode: https: / /www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304393217300958 (Last accessed: 04.12.2021).

5. Fleming Peter. Robots and Organization Studies: Why Robots Might Not Want to Steal Your Job. Organization Studies, 2019, Vol. 40(1), 23-37. DOI: 10.1177/0170840618765568 E-resource. Access mode: https: / /journals.sagepub.com /doi/pdf/ 10.1 177/0170840618765568.

6. Класифікатор професій ДК 003:2010. Класифікатор професій із змінами від 25.10.2021. [Електронний ресурс]. Режим доступу: https: / /www.buhoblik.org.ua/rizni/classificator/dodatok-b.html

7. American Dictionary of the English Language (2 volumes; New York: S. Converse). E-resource. Access mode: https: / /1828.mshaffer.com /d/search/word, computer (Last accessed: 22.02.2022).

8. Tippins Karl. Automation: 5 jobs that will never disappear, and 5 that will be gone by 2030. January 13, 2022. E-resource. Access mode: https: / /contractbook.com /blog/automation-5-iobs-that-will-never-disappear-and-5-that-will-be-gone-by-2030

9. Абліцова Анна. За бортом: які професії зникнуть в майбутньому і чому. Частина І. За матеріалами лекції Альберта Фельдмана «Соціологія майбутнього: роль людини в епоху роботів». 25 липня 2017. [Електронний ресурс]. Режим доступу: https://kfund- m edia. com / za-bortom -yaki-profesiyiznyknut-v-majbutnomu-i-chomu / (Дата звернення 06.02.2022).

10. Cortes, Guido Matias; Jaimovich, Nir; Nekarda, Christopher J; Siu, Henry E . The dynamics of disappearing routine jobs: a flows approach. Labour Economics, 2020, 65(101823) E-resource. Access mode: https: / /doi.org/10.1016/i.labeco.2020.101823 (Last accessed: 06.02.2022).

11. Jobs lost, jobs gained: workforce transitions in a time of automation. McKinsey global institute. December 2017. E-resource. Access mode: https: / /www.mckinsey.com/~/media/BAB4 89A30B724BECB5DEDC41E9BB9FAC.ashx (Last accessed: 16.11.2021).

12. Степанковська Яна. Змінюйся або помри. До 2030 року зникне півсотні професій. 3 вересня 2018. [Електронний ресурс]. Режим доступу: https: / /glavcom.ua/publications/zminvuvsv a-abo-pomri-do-2030-roku-znikne-pivsotni- profesiv-natomist-zvavlvatsva-186-novih- 520807.html (Дата звернення 07.02.2022).

13. Професії майбутнього для України: наук.-практ. розробка / Л. М. Капченко, Н. В. Савченко, Л. Й. Літвінчук, О. В. Грамма. Київ: ІПК ДСЗУ, 2017. 47 с.

14. Bellucci, Stefano; Otenyo, Eric E. Digitisation and the Disappearing Job Theory: A Role for the ILO in Africa. International Development Policy, 2019, 203222. E-resource. Access mode: https:/ /doi.org/10.1163/9789004399013 011 (Last accessed: 05.01.2022).

15. Olena Polishchuk, Nataliia Kovtun, Iryna Vitiuk, Roman Sapenko and Bogdan Trocha. The principle of “incomplete comprehension of object” in the context of the discourse of uncertainties in a digital society. SHS Web of Conferences 104, 02007 (2021). DOI https: / /doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/202110402007

16. 20 Jobs That Could Disappear Forever Even before the pandemic, these occupations were expected to see big declines in hiring by Kenneth Terrell. WORK & JOBS, August 20, 2020. E-resource. Access mode: https: / /www.aarp.org/work/iobsearch/info-2020/iobs-disappearing-forever.html (Last accessed: 15.11.2021).

17. У робочих спеціальностей нема майбутнього? [Електронний ресурс]. Режим доступу: https://zhitomir.grc.ua/article/14228 (Дата звернення 13.02.2022).

18. Top 7 Professions That Will DisappearDue to the Technology Development. September 1, 202 1. E-resource. Access mode: https: / /www.citybiz.co/article/133599 /top-7-professions-that-will-disappear-due-to-the-technology-development/

19. Japanese AI Writes Novel, Passes First Round for Literary Prize. E-resource. Access mode: https://www.digitaltrends.com > cooltech > japanese-ai

19. Ковтун Н. М., Венцель Н. В. Новий середній клас як фактор нівеляції соціальної невизначеності в умовах модернізаційних викликів Industry 4.0. Вісник Житомирського державного університету імені Івана Франка. Житомир: ЖДУ ім. І. Франка, 2020, Випуск № 1 (87), С. 86-99. DOI. 10.35433/PhilosophicalSciences. 1(87).2 020.86-99.

20. Ковтун Н. М., Шкіль Л. Л., Венцель Н. В. Безумовний базовий дохід як фактор нівеляції соціальних ризиків в умовах модернізаційних викликів Industry 4.0. Вісник Житомирського державного університету імені Івана Франка, 2021, Випуск № 1 (89). С. 7687. DOI 10.35433/PhilosophicalSciences.1(89).2021. 76-87.

References (Translated & transliterated)

1. Ahmet Ta§gin & Marcello Mollica. Disappearing Old Christian Professions in the Middle East: The Case of Diyarbakir Pushee-Makers. Middle Eastern Studies, 2015, 51:6, 922-931. DOI: 10.1080/00263206.2015.1044525.

2. Frey Carl Benedikt, Osborne Michael A. The future of employment: how susceptible are jobs to computerisation? University of Oxford. September 17, 2013. 72 р. E-resource. Access mode: https: / /www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/downloads/academic/future-of-employment.pdf (Last accessed: 21.01.2022).

3. Jaimovich Nir, Siu Henry E. Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2020, 102 (1), 129-147. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest a 00875. Eresource. Access mode: https: / /direct.mit.edu/rest/article-abstract/102 /1/ 129/58559 /Job-Polarization-and-Jobless-Recoveries?redirectedFrom=fulltext (Last accessed: 26.12.2021).

4. Cortes, Guido Matias; Jaimovich, Nir; Siu, Henry E. Disappearing routine jobs: Who, how, and why? Economics, 2017, Volume 91, 69-87. E-resource. Access mode: https: / /www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti cle/abs/pii/S0304393217300958 (Last accessed: 04.12.2021).

5. Fleming Peter. Robots and Organization Studies: Why Robots Might Not Want to Steal Your Job. Organization Studies, 2019, Vol. 40(1), 23-37. DOI: 10.1177/0170840618765568 E-resource. Access mode: https: / /journals.sagepub.com /doi/pdf/ 10.1 177/0170840618765568

6. Klasyfikator profesii DK 003:2010. Klasyfikator profesii iz zminamy vid 25.10.2021 [Classifier of professions DK 003: 2010. Classifier of professions with changes from 25.10.2021]. E-resource. Access mode: https: / /www.buhoblik.org.ua/rizni/classific ator/dodatok-b.html (in Ukrainian).

7. American Dictionary of the English Language (2 volumes; New York: S. Converse). E-resource. Access mode: https: / /1828.mshaffer.com/d/search/word, computer (Last accessed: 22.02.2022).

8. Tippins Karl. Automation: 5 jobs that will never disappear, and 5 that will be gone by 2030. January 13, 2022. E- resource. Access mode: https: / /contractbook.com /blog/automation- 5-jobs-that-will-never-disappear-and-5-that- will-be-gone-bv-2030.

9. Ablitsova Anna. Za bortom: yaki profesii znyknut v maibutnomu i chomu. Chastyna I. Za materialamy lektsii Alberta Feldmana «Sotsiolohiia maibutnoho: rol liudyny v epokhu robotiv». 25 lypnia 2017. [Overboard: what professions will disappear in the future and why. Part I. Based on Albert Feldman's lecture «Sociology of the Future: The Role of Man in the Age of Robots». July 25, 2017]. Eresource. Access mode: https://kfund-m edia. com / za-bortom-yaki-profesiyiznyknut-v-majbutnomu-i-chomu / (Last accessed: 06.02.2022) (in Ukrainian).

10. Cortes, Guido Matias; Jaimovich, Nir; Nekarda, Christopher J; Siu, Henry E . The dynamics of disappearing routine jobs: a flows approach. Labour Economics, 2020, 65(101823) E-resource. Access mode: https: / /doi.org/10.1016/i.labeco.2020.101823 (Last accessed: 06.02.2022).

11. Jobs lost, jobs gained: workforcetransitions in a time of automation. McKinsey global institute. December 2017. E-resource. Access mode: https: / /www.mckinsey.com/~/media/BAB489A30B724BECB5DEDC41E9BB9FAC.ashx (Last accessed: 16.11.2021).

12. Stepankovska Yana. Zminiuisia abo pomry. Do 2030 roku znykne pivsotni profesii. 3 veresnia 2018. [Change or die. Fifty professions will disappear by 2030. September 3, 2018]. E-resource. Access mode: https: / /glavcom.ua/publications/zminvuysva-abo-pomri-do-2030-roku-znikne-pivsotni-profesiv-natomist-zyavlvatsya-186-novih-520807.html (Last accessed: 07.02.2022) (in Ukrainian).

13. Profesii maibutnoho dlia Ukrainy: nauk.-prakt. Rozrobka [Professions of the future for Ukraine: scientific-practical development] / L. M. Kapchenko, N. V. Savchenko, L. Y. Litvinchuk, O. V. Hramma. Kiyv: IPK DSZU, 2017. 47 s. (in Ukrainian).

14. Bellucci, Stefano; Otenyo, Eric E. Digitisation and the Disappearing Job Theory: A Role for the ILO in Africa. International Development Policy, 2019, 203222. E-resource. Access mode: https:/ /doi.org/10.1163/9789004399013 011 (Last accessed: 05.01.2022).

15. Olena Polishchuk, Nataliia Kovtun, Iryna Vitiuk, Roman Sapenko and Bogdan Trocha. The principle of “incomplete comprehension of object” in the context of the discourse of uncertainties in a digital society. SHS Web of Conferences 104, 02007 (2021). DOI https: / /doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/202110402007