Главная Коллекция "Otherreferats" Международные отношения и мировая экономика Impact of the Russo-Ukrainian war on black sea trade: geoeconomic challenges

Impact of the Russo-Ukrainian war on black sea trade: geoeconomic challenges

The strategic importance of the Black Sea region in the context of the conflict in Ukraine. The transformation of the region and its consequences for world trade. Evaluation of trends for the export and import of products of the Black Sea Basin countries.

Рубрика Международные отношения и мировая экономика
Вид статья
Язык английский
Дата добавления 05.09.2024
Размер файла 317,7 K

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Страница:

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Annex

Table 1

Number of periods of faster growth for counties' trade

Country

Exports

Imports

Bulgaria

Moldova

Russian Federation

Ukraine

Turkey

Romania

Georgia

Bulgaria

Moldova

Russian Federation

Ukraine

Turkey

Romania

Georgia

France

2

7

0

8

0

1

2

2

8

6

8

1

1

8

Italy

2

5

2

7

5

1

3

5

3

3

7

1

1

2

Germany

8

8

6

8

6

8

4

7

5

2

8

5

8

0

United Kingdom

8

4

5

8

8

7

3

6

3

2

6

7

2

2

United States

6

1

5

4

8

5

1

7

1

8

8

0

0

8

China, PR: Mainland

6

8

8

8

1

8

8

8

8

8

8

6

6

8

India

6

0

8

8

4

0

1

8

2

8

4

4

0

1

Middle East and Central Asia

3

2

8

2

2

3

1

8

4

4

1

1

0

3

Middle East

3

8

8

3

2

3

7

8

8

8

8

1

7

2

Central Asia

1

2

8

1

3

3

1

6

4

4

0

2

0

5

Africa

6

8

8

8

3

4

4

8

8

8

8

5

7

1

European Union

6

8

2

8

8

7

8

7

5

2

8

3

4

1

Euro Area

5

8

2

8

8

6

4

4

3

2

8

2

6

4

BSR

1

0

2

0

1

0

8

1

1

1

0

1

3

2

Bulgaria

-

7

2

3

8

1

8

-

2

6

8

5

4

0

Moldova, Rep. of

1

-

8

6

8

8

0

8

-

2

4

7

8

8

Russian Federation

0

0

-

0

0

1

8

0

1

-

0

2

1

8

Ukraine

0

0

1

-

1

0

0

0

1

0

-

0

1

0

Turkey

2

6

7

3

-

0

2

8

0

3

8

-

8

3

Romania

0

8

8

8

7

-

7

4

7

7

1

1

-

2

Georgia

0

3

8

4

4

1

-

6

5

8

3

6

1

-

Table A1

Regression coefficients for Bulgaria

Exports

Imports

Country

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

World

1017.65*

1552.15*

1794.14*

900.17Л

1586.92Л

1833.13Л

France

22.04Л

33.35*

38.92*

-.0006Л

-.0007*

-.0008*

13.02

19.12Л

25.3Л

-.0004Л

-.0006*

-.0006Л

Italy

29.81

70.9Л

82.17#

-.0017Л

-.0016*

-.0019*

61.98Л

84.15*

94.66*

-.0005

-.0006

Germany

285.13*

333.25*

375.*

.0048*

.0039*

.0042*

154.05*

198.66*

213.08*

.0013#

.0005

.0001

United Kingdom

28.48*

25.11*

23.4*

.0003

-.0001

-.0003

-6.93

-9.05

-12.05

-.0005

-.0007Л

-.0008Л

United States

46.88*

56.05*

61.6*

.0008*

.0008*

.0008*

13.28Л

30.42Л

35.34Л

.0002

.0003#

.0004#

China, PR: Mainland

59.26*

46.17л

38.29#

.001#

.0004

-.0001

128.3*

174.32*

194.14*

.0025*

.0026*

.0028*

India

10.46*

19.39*

23.38*

.0002*

.0004*

.0004*

11.52*

12.59*

11.82*

.0002Л

.0002Л

.0001

Middle East and Central Asia

-13.75

42.6

36.89

-.0023Л

-.0017#

-.0024Л

87.21*

102.51*

113.65*

.0017*

.0014Л

.0015Л

Middle East

-23.27

9.02

1.58

-.0018Л

-.0014Л

-.002*

55.95Л

50.39*

49.13Л

.0012Л

.0008

.0007

Central Asia

9.52

33.57#

35.31

-.0005

-.0002

-.0004

31.26Л

52.12*

64.52*

.0005Л

.0006*

.0008*

Africa

25.84

62.55Л

64.15#

-.0003

.0001

-.0002

73.42*

64.03*

61.05 л

.0017Л

.0012#

.001

European Union

879.76*

1184.95*

1375.33*

.0077*

.0066*

.0079*

665.58*

939.26*

1049.51*

.0036#

.0008

-.0001

Euro Area

575.2*

791.15*

913.31*

.0032*

.0023Л

.0027Л

367.17Л

563.82*

640.93*

-.0005

-.0023

-.0029

BSR

63.85

196.77#

256.94Л

-.0047*

-.0039*

-.0035*

-130.58

199.56

290.84

-.011*

-.0077Л

-.007Л

Moldova, Rep. of

-1.69

2.22

2.42

-.0001*

-.0001

-.0001

4.77*

7.87*

8.13Л

.0001#

.0001Л

.0001#

Russian Federation

-25.02#

-23.27#

-22.

-.0014*

-.0015*

-.0015*

-371.63*

-207.33

-197.71

-.0134*

-.0109*

-.0113*

Ukraine

- 4.09

30.72

41.18

-.0005

.0001

.0003

- 27.13

21.53

54.91

-.0014Л

-.0006

.0002

Turkey, Rep. of

-14.37

8.

6.18

-.0029*

-.0031*

-.0037*

147.92*

219.45*

241.26*

.0025*

.0028*

.0029*

Romania

123.54Л

188.94*

237.05*

.001

.0013#

.0021*

91.37Л

130.33*

152.06*

.0007*

.0005Л

.0007*

Georgia

-14.52*

-9.83#

-7.9

-.0007*

-.0007*

-.0006*

24.13*

27.7*

32.2*

.0005#

.0004#

.0004#

* significant at 99.9%, л significant at 95%, # significant at 90%.

Table A2

Regression coefficients for Georgia

Country

Exports

Imports

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

World

167.16*

231.23*

248.38*

211.99Л

367.29*

386.36Л

France

1.12

1.18#

1.42Л

-.0002

-.0002

-.0002

8.81Л

9.18Л

8.77Л

.0006

.0004

.0003

Italy

-3.4Л

-2.67#

-2.76#

-.0022*

-.0022*

-.0022*

.29

2.66

1.01

-.0006

-.0007Л

Germany

.58

.7

.23

-.0008

-.001

-.0013

-2.9

5.76

7.36

-.0018*

-.0017*

-.0015*

United Kingdom

.17

-.06

-.44

-.0003#

-.0004Л

-.0006*

-1.14

-.54

-1.3

-.0004

-.0005#

-.0006#

United States

-3.81

1.76

1.75

-.0043Л

-.0034Л

-.0036Л

46.9*

60.64*

68.51*

.0043*

.0045*

.0052*

China, PR: Mainland

50.49*

59.56*

65.74*

.0126*

.0124*

.0131*

31.86*

41.53*

43.3*

.0018*

.0014Л

.0014Л

India

-1.39Л

-.15

.19

-.0007Л

-.0004

-.0003

-.67

.94

1.01

-.0003

-.0002

-.0002

Middle East and Central Asia

7.64

39.

41.58

-.0171*

-.0138*

-.0142Л

30.89Л

54.38*

58.27Л

-.0003

-.0003

-.0002

Middle East

3.69

3.2

2.

-.0007

-.0013

-.0019

-2.92

7.98

9.87

-.0013Л

-.0008

-.0007

Central Asia

3.95

35.8

39.58

-.0164Л

-.0125Л

-.0122#

33.81*

46.4*

48.4*

.001

.0005

.0005

Africa

-.04

1.43

.69

-.0004

-.0003

-.0006

-2.05

-.86

-.7

-.0004Л

-.0003Л

-.0003#

European Union

35.72*

37.35*

36.73*

.0016

-.0009

-.0022

6.64

39.76

36.64

-.0057*

-.0059*

-.0066*

Euro Area

4.36

3.78

1.48

-.0042#

-.0055Л

-.0065Л

17.46

35.99Л

33.92#

-.0023#

-.0029Л

-.0034Л

BSR

102.3*

111.39*

119.18*

.0169*

.0134*

.0137*

44.55

107.23Л

115.18Л

-.0042*

-.0035*

-.0033*

Bulgaria

21.61*

25.34*

26.26*

.0039Л

.0034Л

.003#

-12.01*

-8.44 л

-7.08#

-.0021*

-.0019*

-.0017*

Moldova, Rep. of

.23

.34

.51

-.0002

-.0001

-.0001

.5Л

.29

.09

Russian Federation

53.9*

54.99*

55.51*

.0129*

.0107*

.0096*

62.48*

90.88*

94.95*

.0054*

.006*

.0059*

Ukraine

12.3#

11.9Л

13.67Л

.0004

-.0002

.0002

-24.83*

-27.5*

-23.77*

-.0046*

-.0051*

-.0044*

Turkey, Rep. of

6.88

13.91л

17.94Л

-.0019

-.0013

-.0001

29.01#

57.26Л

59.76Л

-.001

-.0009

-.0009

Romania

7.37

4.93

5.29

.0018

.001

.0011

-10.6#

-5.27

-8.78

-.0019*

-.0016*

-.0021*

* significant at 99.9%, л significant at 95%, # significant at 90%.

Table A3

Regression coefficients for Moldova

Country

Exports

Imports

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

World

76.51л

132.5*

152.44*

123.75

246.1л

296.43л

France

.64

.51

-.07

-.0001

-.0004

-.0007#

6.67*

7.62*

8.21*

.0007*

.0005л

.0004#

Italy

5.07

7.86л

9.14л

-.0007

-.0013

-.0014

7.87#

9.44л

11.76л

-.0007

-.0008

Germany

17.54*

16.16*

17.71*

.0051*

.0034л

.0036л

13.33л

16.4*

19.37*

.0007#

-.0001

-.0002

United Kingdom

-5.3#

-5.26л

-6.21л

-.0031#

-.0034л

-.004л

-1.05

-.32

-.11

-.0004#

-.0005л

-.0005л

United States

-.16

.88

1.12

-.0004л

-.0003

-.0003

.38

2.72

3.71

-.0003

-.0002

-.0001

China, PR: Mainland

1.13Л

.79#

.6

.0003#

.0002

35.03*

43.35*

47.83*

.004*

.0033*

.0031*

India

-.39л

-.33л

-.2л

-.0002л

-.0002*

-.0001л

.65

8.96#

10.88#

.0008

.001

Middle East and Central Asia

-2.29

1.3

1.07

-.0024л

-.0019л

-.0024л

11.08

11.39

13.41

.0016

.0013

.0015

Middle East

2.93Л

5.23*

5.53л

.0006

.0009#

.0008

6.39

5.04

5.48

.001

.0007

.0008

Central Asia

-5.22*

-3.93л

-4.45 л

-.003*

-.0028*

-.0032*

4.69

6.35

7.94#

.0006

.0006

.0008

Africa

1.15Л

1.22*

1.07л

.0003л

.0002#

.0001

1.9

2.11л

2.24#

.0002

.0002

.0002

European Union

104.49*

125.69*

137.37*

.0252*

.0205*

.0204*

71.68л

129.46л

146.52л

.003

.0028

.0016

Euro Area

37.69*

39.75*

42.56*

.0079*

.0045

.0038

36.43#

51.5*

60.8*

.0012#

-.0005

-.0009

BSR

19.7

68.88#

86.3л

-.0082#

-.0025

.0003

15.43

92.64

116.82

-.0073*

-.0042

-.004

Bulgaria

4.36л

6.83*

7.5*

.0011

.0013л

.0013#

-1.07

2.16

2.27

-.0005л

-.0003

-.0004

Russian Federation

-45.84*

-42.04*

-39.7*

-.0235*

-.0224*

-.0218*

.47

16.94

25.99

-.0032л

-.0029л

-.0024#

Ukraine

-6.82 л

18.95

25.17

-.004*

.0018

.0035

-7.12

6.89

13.43

-.0035л

-.003л

-.0026#

Turkey, Rep. of

16.74*

19.88*

22.31*

.0048л

.0045*

.005*

5.78

16.46#

20.96#

-.0006

-.0002

Romania

51.08*

65.22*

71.32*

.0135*

.0126*

.0127*

17.18

49.79л

53.73#

.0004

.0021

.0013

Georgia

.19

.04

-.31

-.0002

-.0003

-.0005*

.2#

.41л

.43л

л

* significant at 99.9%, л significant at 95%, # significant at 90%.

Table A4

Regression coefficients for Romania

Country

Exports

Imports

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112 22

Trend 11 21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112 22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112 22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

World

-11003.5

-2911.16

-472.98

-5837.29

-6473.35

-5802.64

France

-332.79

-52.36

83.41

-.0003

-.0001

.0001

-168.84

-210.6

-314.91

.0002

.0001

-.0003

Italy

2312.98*

1606.91л

1799.47#

-.0039*

-.0031*

-.0038*

-268.87

-334.3#

-341.29

-.0002

-.0004#

Germany

-587.22

-394.27

-835.46

.0002

-.0004

-.0017л

1093.56#

1220.24л

-1437.95

л

-.0016л

-.002*

-.0031*

United Kingdom

725.54

848.87#

914.15

.0026#

.0022#

.0022#

-375.78 л

-347.64 л

-450.9*

-.0009л

-.0008л

-.0012*

United States

127.87

268.3

513.37л

.0009л

.0007#

.0011*

18.68

-52.8

-219.36

.0011

.001

.0003

China, PR: Mainland

3115.59*

3395.65*

3734.61*

.0092*

.0077*

.008*

1497.89

1396.61#

1536.55

.0094*

.0102*

.0104*

India

229.17#

396.35Л

333.84#

.0008*

.0009*

.0006*

123.49л

86.58#

88.85

.0007*

.0006*

.0006*

Middle East and Central Asia

1190.29Л

1968.95л

2046.94л

.0049*

.0046*

.0042*

-13.2

-48.27

-7.56

.0009л

.0009*

Middle East

619.89*

900.83*

955.43*

.0019*

.0019*

.0019*

71.21л

50.06

50.54

.0004*

.0003*

.0003*

Central Asia

570.4

1068.12л

1091.52#

.003*

.0027*

.0023*

-84.4

-98.33

-58.1

.0005

.0006л

.0007#

Africa

828.15*

1158.52*

1188.95*

.0024*

.0024*

.0023*

28.94

-2.

-3.84

.0003#

.0002

.0002

European Union

10221.24Л

-6680.15

-7420.9

-.012*

-.0113*

-.0149*

-3385.6#

3809.37л

4432.74л

-.0045#

-.0058л

-.0088*

Euro Area

8764.63 л

-5738.34

-6699.16

-.0107*

-.0099*

-.0135*

2655.78#

2979.24л

3453.88л

-.0034#

-.0043 л

-.0067*

BSR

-1687.39

-648.54

-1045.16

-.0014

-.0009

-.0021л

-1743.4*

-1606.9*

1476.02л

-.0048*

-.0043*

-.0039*

Bulgaria

-66.36

-3.93

28.18

.0001

-14.91 л

-19.6*

-20.81 л

Moldova, Rep. of

29.79

77.48#

52.56

.0001#

.0002л

.0001#

-5.67

-6.74

-2.71

Ukraine

1774.12*

1430.52*

1603.56л

-.0031*

-.0027*

-.0031*

-1618.8*

1455.82*

1286.09*

-.005*

-.0045*

-.0039*

Turkey, Rep. of

-101.64

483.03

251.33

.0008

.0011#

.0004

-127.13

-125.29

-145.36

Romania

172.59*

171.65*

175.98*

.0005*

.0004*

.0004л

- 29.08

-48.34

-69.55л

-.0001

-.0001

Georgia

52.36*

53.74*

50.34*

.0002*

.0001*

.0001л

52.19*

48.89*

48.5*

.0002*

.0002*

.0002*

* significant at 99.9%, л significant at 95%, # significant at 90%

Table A5

Regression coefficients for the Russian Federation

Country

Exports

Imports

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

World

5575.34*

7655.78*

7822.98*

-740.82

4410.91

5507.25

France

197.69*

246.98*

295.8*

-.0003

-.0004

-.0001

-178.4*

-84.54

-52.3

-.0006Л

-.0008*

-.0008*

Italy

350.2*

422.89*

502.15*

.0004

.0002

.0007#

-382.79*

-201.58

-175.67

-.0014*

-.0015*

-.0016*

Germany

432.68*

539.49*

577.75*

-.0005

-.0008

-.0006

-257 #

-131.41

-141.8

-.0007

-.0017#

-.0021#

United Kingdom

418.27*

414.25*

394.04*

.0005

-.0001

-.0003

-4.86

-10.01

-24.66

.0001

-.0003

-.0004

United States

747.89*

909.*

945.61*

.0028*

.0028*

.0028*

269.67Л

-117.1

9.68

-.0009Л

-.0012*

-.0009Л

China, PR: Mainland

34.34

39.76

24.6

-.0004#

-.0005Л

-.0006Л

284.79

887.3#

949.76

.0013

.0015

.0012

India

54.77*

71.79*

83.83*

.0001

.0002#

.0002Л

36.31

192.56

235.34

.0002

.0003

.0003

Middle East and Central Asia

-56.38

484.14

-9.74

-.0091*

-.0087*

-.0119*

-207.58

139.25

236.86

-.0004

-.0009

-.0009

Middle East

-351.11

-6.99

-460.43

-.0082*

-.0081*

-.0109*

-238.53

-99.97

-85.03

-.0006

-.0013

-.0014

Central Asia

294.73

491.13Л

450.68#

-.0008

-.0007

-.001

30.96

239.22

321.89#

.0002

.0004

.0006Л

Africa

600.82л

814.77*

792.75Л

.0006

.0008

.0004

141.43

224.71Л

293.1*

.0007Л

.0005#

.0006Л

European Union

3343.93*

3993.02*

4386.72*

.0066Л

.0055Л

.0075*

1071.94#

-323.16

-187.44

-.0033Л

-.0059*

-.0066Л

Euro Area

2482.88*

2926.39*

3236.61*

.0041#

.003

.0047Л

1017.27#

-396.89

-297.74

-.0033*

-.0053*

-.0059*

BSR

274.6

708.45#

825.08#

-.0014

-.0003

.0004

-480.18

1090.72

1412.45

-.0017

.0009

.0014

Bulgaria

178.21*

224.97*

237.67*

.0006*

.0006*

.0006*

-34.14

-20.11

-30.07

-.0001

-.0002Л

-.0003*

Moldova, Rep. of

16.58*

26.77*

28.27*

Л

.0001*

.0001Л

6.7

7.54

10.23

Russian Federation

-225.66

2.23

48.7

-.0024л

-.0016#

-.0012

-227.22

1211.15

1472.8

-.0007

.0019

.0024

Ukraine

55.88

88.58#

101.91#

-.0001

-163.33#

-93.29

-59.76

-.0007Л

-.0006*

-.0005Л

Romania

212.05*

298.78*

342.86*

.0005*

.0007*

.0009*

-75.47

-47.57

-22.82

-.0003Л

-.0004*

-.0003Л

Georgia

37.55Л

67.13*

65.67л

13.29#

' >

42.06Л

.0001Л

.0001*

.0001*

* significant at 99.9%, л significant at 95%, # significant at 90%.

Table A6

Regression coefficients for Turkey

Country

Exports

Imports

Trend 11-21

Trend 11 -22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

World

2147.86*

2682.98*

3005.83*

3734.79*

4708.22*

5463.78*

France

117.1л

128.86*

156.92*

-.0004#

-.0007л

-.0005#

62.51#

76.4л

96.07*

-.0014*

-.0017*

-.0018*

Italy

126.04#

159.36л

201.1*

-.0017*

-.0019*

-.0018*

141.29#

199.59л

260.28*

-.0027*

-.0028*

-.0029*

Germany

757.23*

762.26*

815.69*

.0046*

.0032л

.003#

994.12*

1036.02*

1126.7*

.0032*

.0019#

.0012

United Kingdom

49.09

41.37

19.02

-.0003

-.0006

-.0011л

-23.58

-44.06#

-49.94

-.001*

-.0013*

-.0015*

United States

47.72л

78.71*

88.5*

.0001

.0003#

.0003#

17.15

30.37#

34.58#

-.0003

-.0002

-.0003#

China, PR: Mainland

35.8*

44.22*

46.51*

.0002#

.0002л

.0002#

399.77*

442.07*

519.9*

.0024*

.0022*

.0027*

India

-6.58#

-3.25

-3.33

-.0002*

-.0002*

-.0002*

4.44

18.32

29.53л

-.0002

-.0001

Middle East and Central Asia

-19.9

34.48

25.49

-.0021*

-.0017*

-.0021*

-54.43

86.07

146.45

-.0023*

-.0013

-.0009

Middle East

5.83

26.96

26.76

-.001л

-.001л

-.0011л

43.24*

64.53*

74.16*

.0003л

.0004*

.0004*

Central Asia

-25.73

7.53

-1.27

-.001*

-.0008л

-.001*

-97.67

21.53

72.29

-.0025*

-.0017#

-.0013

Africa

12.21

30.39

.66

-.0009

-.0008#

-.0015*

35.56л

56.65*

61.26*

.0001

.0002#

.0002

European Union

2098.99*

2406.39*

2699.37*

.0083*

.0072*

.0081*

2821.52*

3407.07*

3858.05*

.0014

.0003

-.0009

Euro Area

1520.15*

1664.07*

1864.55*

.005*

.0032#

.0036#

1958.93*

2216.49*

2481.97*

.0001

-.0019

-.0034#

BSR

-76.96

47.67

114.23

-.0051*

-.0042*

-.0037л

584.56*

937.22*

1101.63*

.0012#

.003л

.0036л

Bulgaria

86.58л

117.55*

137.66*

.0001

.0002

.0003

180.72*

391.86л

462.05л

.0007#

.002л

.0024л

Moldova, Rep. of

66.44*

99.64*

108.47*

.0005*

.0007*

.0007*

54.*

60.66*

61.49*

.0003*

.0003*

.0002*

Russian Federation

-55.62#

-76.81л

-90.24*

-.0014*

-.0016*

-.0018*

25.74

65.75

79.55

-.0013л

-.0011л

-.0013л

Ukraine

-50.88#

-7.6

8.71

-.0011л

-.0007

-.0005

57.83л

97.05*

130.74*

.0002

.0004#

.0007*

Turkey, Rep. of

-103.34#

-72.46

-35.13

-.0028*

-.0025*

-.0021*

264.17*

319.41*

364.39*

.0013*

.0014*

.0015*

Georgia

-20.14*

-12.66#

-15.25#

-.0004*

-.0003*

-.0004*

2.09#

2.49л

3.42*

.#

*

* significant at 99.9%, л significant at 95%, # significant at 90%.

Table A7

Regression coefficients for Ukraine

Country

Exports

Imports

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

Trend 11-21

Trend 11-22

Trend 112-22

World

-1275.66

-1311.04

-825.69

- 1991.4

-1734.77

-1025.39

France

11.24

9.38

12.

.0004л

.0004*

.0003л

9.86

-2.23

-.79

.0008

.0005

.0003

Italy

-3.41

-32.88

-6.31

.0008

.0003

.0003

38.66

26.8

42.32

.0015*

.0012*

.0011*

Germany

98.29Л

91.11*

111.02*

.0024*

.0024*

.0025*

-86.19

-110.44

-75.24

.0013

.0005

-.0001

United Kingdom

32.56#

20.2

22.42

.0007*

.0005*

.0005л

-18.22

-19.06

-11.36

.0002

.0001

United States

32.49

24.23

42.57

.0009л

.0008*

.001*

73.61

41.52

57.54

.0023*

.0016*

.0015л

China, PR: Mainland

469.73 л

329.51#

370.12#

.009*

.0066л

.0069л

302.7

296.11#

336.79#

.0077*

.0074*

.0072*

India

14.68

-33.42

-26.69

.0011

.0001

-.0002

-7.79

31.35

41.9

.0002л

.0009л

.001#

Middle East and Central Asia

-564.95 л

-643.89*

-674.77*

-.0055*

-.0075*

-.0097*

-85.68

-51.2

60.27

-.0001

.0004

.0015*

Middle East

-285.11Л

-346.62*

-372.83*

-.0024#

-.0039л

-.0054*

7.36

18.6

20.11

.0003л

.0005л

.0004л

Central Asia

-279.84 л

-297.27*

-301.95 л

-.0031*

-.0036*

-.0043*

-93.04

-69.8

40.16

-.0004

-.0001

.0011л

Africa

19.73

-73.56

-150.24

.0019

-.002

11.2

1.41

11.3

.0005*

.0003

.0003

European Union

625.79#

885.68л

1104.75*

.0172*

.0245*

.026*

96.34

258.79

450.61

.0112*

.013*

.0122*

Euro Area

341.3#

317.38л

399.62л

.0099*

.0101*

.01*

-16.92

-14.83

88.98

.0064*

.0055*

.0046л

BSR

1793.54*

1519.99*

1238.88л

-.0241*

-.0194*

-.0172*

2322.83*

2048.11*

1716.61л

-.0253*

-.0227*

-.021*

Bulgaria

-4.4

30.44

46.9#

.0001

.0009#

.0012#

15.64

79.75#

94.35#

.0003л

.0015#

.0017#

Moldova, Rep. of

-8.72

.7

7.72

.0002

.0004#

.0004#

-1.43

1.19

3.41

.0001#

.0001#

Russian Federation

1734.05*

1621.16*

1426.75*

-.0251*

-.0243*

-.0227*

2418.66*

2283.03*

2012.28*

-.0281*

-.028*

-.0269*

Turkey, Rep. of

-90.79

-73.73

-57.2

-.0005

-.0001

-.0003

117.48#

151.71л

174.49л

.0026*

.0032*

.0034*

Romania

65.16*

167.87л

210.18л

.0014*

.0038л

.0045л

-35.68

3.85

25.1

-.0002

.0005

.0007

Georgia

-20.73*

-24.1*

-19.72*

-.0002

-.0002#

-.0003#

-.19

-1.57

-1.69

.0001

Source: calculated by authors

* significant at 99.9%, л significant at 95%, # significant at 90%.

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