Will the Paris accord accelerate climate change

The 2015 Paris climate accord (Paris Agreement), controlling our planet’s rising temperature to limit climate change. Determining optimal abatement policy. Correcting the negative climate externality. The baseline, no carbon tax transition path.

Рубрика Международные отношения и мировая экономика
Вид статья
Язык английский
Дата добавления 16.11.2021
Размер файла 3,5 M

Отправить свою хорошую работу в базу знаний просто. Используйте форму, расположенную ниже

Студенты, аспиранты, молодые ученые, использующие базу знаний в своей учебе и работе, будут вам очень благодарны.

25) John A., Pecchenino R., Schimmelpfennig D., Schreft S. Short-Lived Agents and the Long- Lived Environment. Journal of Public Economics, 1995, vol. 58, no. 1, pp. 127-141.

26) Karp L., Rezai A. The Political Economy of Environmental Policy with Overlapping Generations. International Economic Review, 2014, vol. 55, no. 3, pp. 711-733.

27) Kriegler E., Hall J. W., Held H., Dawson R., Schellnhuber H. J. Imprecise Probability Assessment of Tipping Points in the Climate System. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2009, vol. 106, no. 13, pp. 5041-5046.

28) Lenton T. M., Held H., Kriegler E., Hall J. W., Lucht W., Rahmstorf S., Schellnhuber H. J. Tipping Elements in the Earth's Climate System. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2008, vol. 105, no. 6, pp. 1786-1793.

29) Lugovoy O., Polbin A. On Intergenerational Equity of Greenhouse Gases Emissions Abatement. Journal of the New Economic Association, 2016, vol. 31, no. 3, pp. 12-39.

30) Manne A., Mendelsohn R., Richels R. MERGE: A Model for Evaluating Regional and Global Effects of GHG Reduction Policies. Energy Policy, 1995, vol. 23, no. 1, pp. 17-34.

31) Marini G., Scaramozzino P. Overlapping Generations and Environmental Control. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1995, vol. 29, no. 1, pp. 64-77.

32) Metcalf G. E. Investment in Energy Infrastructure and the Tax Code. Tax Policy and the Economy, 2010, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 1-33.

33) Metcalf G. E. Using the Tax System to Address Competition Issues with a Carbon Tax. National Tax Journal, 2014, vol. 67, no. 4, pp. 779-806.

34) Mourmouras A. Competitive Equilibria and Sustainable Growth in a Life-Cycle Model with Natural Resources. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 1991, vol. 93, no. 4, pp. 585-591.

35) Mourmouras A. Conservationist Government Policies and Intergenerational Equity in an Overlapping Generations Model with Renewable Resources. Journal of Public Economics, 1993, vol. 51, no. 2, pp. 249-268.

36) Nordhaus W. D. A Question of Balance: Weighing the Options on Global Warming Policies. New Haven, CT, Yale University Press, 2008.

37) Nordhaus W. Climate Clubs: Overcoming Free-Riding in International Climate Policy. American Economic Review, 2015, vol. 105, no. 4, pp. 1339-1370.

38) Nordhaus W. D. Economic Aspects of Global Warming in a Post-Copenhagen Environment. Proceedings ofthe National Academy ofSciences, 2010, vol. 107, no. 26, pp. 11721-11726.

39) Nordhaus W. D. Managing the Global Commons: The Economics of Climate Change. Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, 1994.

40) Nordhaus W. D. The Efficient Use of Energy Resources. New Haven, CT, Yale University Press, 1979.

41) Nordhaus W. D., Boyer J. Warming the World: Economic Models of Global Warming. Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, 2000.

42) Nordhaus W. D., Yang Z. A Regional Dynamic General-Equilibrium Model of Alternative Climate-Change Strategies. American Economic Review, 1996, vol. 86, no. 4, pp. 741-765.

43) Ortiz R. A., Golub A., Lugovoy O., Markandya A., Wang J. DICER: A Tool for Analyzing Climate Policies. Energy Economics, 2011, vol. 33, pp. S41-S49.

44) Pecchenino R., John A. An Overlapping Generations Model of Growth and the Environment. The Economic Journal, 1994, vol. 104, no. 427, pp. 1393-1410.

45) Plambeck E. L., Hope C., Anderson J. The Page95 Model: Integrating the Science and Economics of Global Warming. Energy Economics, 1997, vol. 19, no. 1, pp. 77-101.

46) Popp D. ENTICE: Endogenous Technological Change in the DICE Model of Global Warming. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2004, vol. 48, no. 1, pp. 742-768.

47) Population Aging and the Generational Economy: A Global Perspective. Lee R. D., Mason A. (eds). Cheltenham, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2011.

48) Rasmussen T. N. Modeling the Economics of Greenhouse Gas Abatement: An Overlapping Generations Perspective. Review of Economic Dynamics, 2003, vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 99-119.

49) Rausch S., Metcalf G. E., Reilly J. M. Distributional Impacts of Carbon Pricing: A General Equilibrium Approach with Micro-Data for Households. Energy Economics, 2011, vol. 33, pp. S20-S33.

50) Schneider M. T., Traeger C. P., Winkler R. Trading Off Generations: Equity, Discounting, and Climate Change. European Economic Review, 2012, vol. 56, no. 8, pp. 1621-1644.

51) Sinn H.-W. Absatzsteuern, Olforderung und das Allmendeproblem. In:. Reaktionen auf Ener- giepreisanderungen, Siebert H. (ed.). Frankfurt, Berne, Lang, 1982, pp. 83-103.

52) Sinn H.-W. Pareto Optimality in the Extraction of Fossil Fuels and the Greenhouse Effect: A Note. NBER Working Paper, no. 13453, 2007.

53) Sinn H.-W. Public Policies Against Global Warming: A Supply Side Approach. International Tax and Public Finance, 2008, vol. 15, no. 4, pp. 360-394.

54) Solow R. M. Intergenerational Equity and Exhaustible Resources. The Review of Economic Studies, 1974a, vol. 41, pp. 29-45.

55) Solow R. M. The Economics of Resources or the Resources of Economics. American Economic Review, 1974b, vol. 64, no. 2, pp. 1-14.

56) Stern N. The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2007.

57) Tol R. S. J. On the Optimal Control of Carbon Dioxide Emissions: An Application of FUND. Environmental Modeling & Assessment, 1997, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 151-163.

58) Tol R. S. J. Welfare Specifications and Optimal Control of Climate Change: An Application of Fund. Energy Economics, 2002, vol. 24, no. 4, pp. 367-376.

59) Tol R. S. J., Heintz R. J., Lammers P. E. M. Methane Emission Reduction: An Application of FUND. Climatic Change, 2003, vol. 57, no. 1-2, pp. 71-98.

60) Van der Zwaan B. C. C., Gerlagh R., Klaassen G., Schrattenholzer L. Endogenous Technological Change in Climate Change Modelling. Energy Economics, 2002, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 1-19.

61) Wendner R. An Applied Dynamic General Equilibrium Model of Environmental Tax Reforms and Pension Policy. Journal of Policy Modeling, 2001, vol. 23, no. 1, pp. 25-50.

62) Yang Z. Strategic Bargaining and Cooperation in Greenhouse Gas Mitigations: An Integrated Assessment Modeling Approach. Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, 2008.

Appendix A

Solution Algorithm

Step A. Find the Economy s Steady State

Guess K-, compute the supply of capital Xs, update Kei+1 = 0.8Xe + 0.2Ks, and iterate until \KeM -- Щ | < Ј.

Step B. Find T

The price of energy at T satisfies

Let us set x at 1 and find a date T at which cumulative oil consumption exceeds oil reserves, but at date T -- 1 cumulative oil consumption is less than oil reserves. Then in step C we iterate on x to equalize cumulative oil consumption and oil reserves at time T. We also define

some large value, M, by which time the model converges to its steady state.

Step B1. Set T = 0.

Step B2. Set x = 1.

Step B3. Guess K't, te [1, T + 1].

Step B4. Given the value of K'T+1 in the non-oil regime, find a transition path from T + 1 to the steady state by iterating over the path of capital. Guess K't , te [T + 2, M - 1], update K/+1 = 0.8Kj + 0.2Kts, te [T + 2, M- 1], iterate until || K/+1 - Kj ||^< є, te [T + 2, M- 1]. The converged solution provides paths for all variables at t є [T + 2, M - 1].

Step B5. Guess

Step B6. For t < T and given the path for price of energy, determine the allocation of total capital and labor between clean energy and final goods production sectors using the bisection method to solve the nonlinear system of equations (30)-(33). Compute rt and update the guess

of the price path for energy:

t < T.

Step B7. Fixed point iterations on price of energy. Repeat step B6 until

Step B8. Compute capital supply Update the path of capital K/+1 = 0.8Kt + 0.2Kf, U= [1, T + 1].

Step B9. Repeat steps B4-B8 until

Step B10. Compute YP.

Step B11. If and repeat steps B2-B10, else stop

Step C. Find Transition Path

We have found date T at which cumulative oil consumption exceeds oil reserves. But at date T - 1 cumulative oil consumption is less than oil reserves. Now we will solve for the transition path that entails equalization of cumulative oil consumption and oil reserves at T. At steps B3-

B10 we have a mapping Define a function

Solve the equation g(x) = 0, [1, - ] using the bisection method, where x- is some upper bound for x. For each xt we need to iterate on steps B3-B10.

Appendix B

Supplementary Figures

Note. Solid line indicates baseline. Dotted line indicates transition with the double growth rate gB. Ot -- oil, pt -- price of energy, Vt

Figure B1 The Transition with Faster Technical Progress in Clean Energy (Detrended Variables) Note. Solid line indicates baseline. Dotted line indicates transition with the double growth rate gB. Ot -- oil, pt -- price of energy, Vt -- value of oil company, Jt -- CO2 concentration, Dt -- damages, фt -- absolute tax per unit of oil, St -- clean energy production, nt -- rental price of land, Qt -- value of land, Et -- total energy consumption, Kt -- total capital, Ks,t -- clean energy sector's capital, Ky,t -- final goods production sector's capital, wt -- real wage rate, rt -- real interest rate, Yt -- final output, ct y -- consumption of young households, ct o -- consumption of old households, gY -- steady state growth rate of output, gS -- steady state growth rate of clean energy

Figure B2 Transition with Faster Technical Progress in the Final Goods Sector (Detrended Variables) Note. Solid line indicates baseline. Dotted line indicates transition with the double growth rate gZ. Ot -- oil, pt -- price of energy, Vt -- value of oil company, Jt -- CO2 concentration, Dt -- damages, фt -- absolute tax per unit of oil, St -- clean energy production, nt -- rental price of land, Qt -- value of land, Et -- total energy consumption, Kt -- total capital, Ks,t -- clean energy sector's capital, Ky,t -- final goods production sector's capital, wt -- real wage rate, rt -- real interest rate, Yt -- final output, ct y -- consumption of young households, ct o -- consumption of old households, gY -- steady state growth rate of output, gS -- steady state growth rate of clean energy.

Figure B3 The Transition with Faster Economy Wide Technical Progress (Detrended Variables) Note. Solid line indicates baseline. Dotted line indicates transition with the double growth rates gB and gZ, and thus gY. Ot -- oil, pt -- price of energy, Vt -- value of oil company, Jt -- CO2 concentration, Dt -- damages, фt -- absolute tax per unit of oil, St -- clean energy production, nt -- rental price of land, Qt -- value of land, Et -- total energy consumption, Kt -- total capital, Ks,t -- clean energy sector's capital, Ky,t -- final goods production sector's capital, wt -- real wage rate, rt -- real interest rate, Yt -- final output, ct y -- consumption of young households, ct o -- consumption of old households, gY -- steady state growth rate of output, gS -- steady state growth rate of clean energy.

Размещено на Allbest.ru


Подобные документы

  • Политика России в международных экономических отношениях. Содействие развитию национальной экономики в глобализованном мире.Россия выступает за расширение сотрудничества в целях обеспечения экологической безопасности и по борьбе с изменениями климата.

    статья [14,9 K], добавлен 07.01.2011

  • The study of the history of the development of Russian foreign policy doctrine, and its heritage and miscalculations. Analysis of the achievements of Russia in the field of international relations. Russia's strategic interests in Georgia and the Caucasus.

    курсовая работа [74,6 K], добавлен 11.06.2012

  • Анализ макроэкономических показателей Болгарии за 2010–2015 год, отраслевая структура внутреннего валового проекта данного государства. Паритет покупательской способности в национальной валюте. Анализ индекса человеческого развития, внешней торговли.

    курсовая работа [379,6 K], добавлен 12.01.2017

  • Этапы эволюции китайской военной и оборонной стратегии. Отличия ее от советской. Исторический обзор развития военной стратегии КНР в период 1949–2014 гг. "Белая книга" по военной стратегии КНР 2015 г. Развитие современной оборонной инициативы КНР.

    контрольная работа [201,8 K], добавлен 03.09.2016

  • Географическая структура внешней торговли России. Анализ динамики экспорта и импорта. Показатели внешней торговли со странами СНГ. Темпы роста физических объемов экспорта, его главные статьи. Внешнеторговый оборот России в январе-марте 2015 года.

    аттестационная работа [1,5 M], добавлен 30.05.2015

  • A peaceful Europe (1945-1959): The R. Schuman declaration, attempts of Britain, government of M. Thatcher and T. Blair, the Treaty of Maastricht, social chapter, the treaty of Nice and Accession. European economic integration. Common agricultural policy.

    курсовая работа [47,4 K], добавлен 09.04.2011

  • Универсальные группы целей создания международных альянсов. Государственное регулирование деятельности стратегических альянсов в России и за рубежом. Распределение крупнейших рынков M&A и Renault- Nissan в мире. Трансграничные сделки 2010-2015 гг.

    презентация [1,4 M], добавлен 15.12.2015

  • Аналитическое обоснование к Национальной платформе бизнеса Республики Беларуси. Основные показатели платежного баланса и международной инвестиционной позиции Республики Беларусь за 2011–2015 годы. Правительственная программа антикризисных реформ.

    реферат [35,7 K], добавлен 06.01.2017

  • Соединённые Штаты Америки как государство в Северной Америке. Политическое устройство страны. Историческая справка. Предпосылки войны за независимость. "Бостонское" чаепитие. Рабство, гражданская война. Темпы роста ВВП в 2002-2015 годах. Импорт и экспорт.

    презентация [4,7 M], добавлен 05.03.2017

  • Степень влияния факторов трайбализма и регионализма в формировании государственной структуры Кыргызстана. Анализ причин межэтнических конфликтов в стране. Основные перспективы межрегиональной интеграции после вступления Кыргызстана в Таможенный союз.

    дипломная работа [2,2 M], добавлен 16.09.2015

Работы в архивах красиво оформлены согласно требованиям ВУЗов и содержат рисунки, диаграммы, формулы и т.д.
PPT, PPTX и PDF-файлы представлены только в архивах.
Рекомендуем скачать работу.