IPO

. . IPO . , . .

,
26.12.2019
634,2 K

. ,

, , , , .

, , , . , (RP) . . , . , , , . , , . , , . . , 3-3.

3-3 (2)

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

BV

1,275301

0,338354

3,769130

0,0003

LOG(DX)

21,02867

4,136339

5,083884

0,0000

EPS

8,939369

1,799540

4,967585

0,0000

IOE

-0,902891

1,250866

-0,721813

0,4719

LR

-11,41164

4,329772

-2,635622

0,0096

ROE

12,14579

4,027080

3,016029

0,0032

ROI

7,128888

3,508030

2,03263

0,0445

SOC

-4,801658

2,103040

-2,283199

0,0243

LOG(SZ)

-2,878877

0,470279

-6,121639

0,0000

C

-112,2559

30,18887

-3,718454

0,0003

R-squared

0,766652

Durbin-Watson stat

1,889876

0,000000

RP , R2 = 0,767. . :

1) (DX), 21, , . , , , ;

2) ROE 12,14, EPS 8,94, , . ;

3) LR , . , . . . , , . ;

4) BV 1,27, , , , , 1,27 ;

5) (ROI) 7,13, , , , , , . , , ;

6) (SZ) , - 3,8, , - ;

7) -4,8, , , , , . ;

8) (IOE) -0,9, , . , , t 0,72, 0,47, . , . , , , , .. , , , .  , .

3)

IPO. , , , , .

, . , 3-4.

3-4.

iMAEj

1,051333

iBPj

0,000000

iMAPEj

15,03738

iVPj

0,091026

iTICj

0,072425

iCPj

0,908974

3-4, MAE = 1,05, MAPE = 15, , 60%. , 15% , 29,3% , , , . , 0 1, , . , 0,07. . , , . 0,909, , .

(4)

; . , , , . , , , , , , . , , .

(5)

R2 = 0,767, , 9 76,7% , 23,4% . - , , : 1) . , . , , , . , , . 2) . , , , . , , , .

. . , . .

:

4 IPO : , , .

, , .

3. . , .

4. , , , , .

5. IPO , P / E .

6. , , : , , , , , , , , .

7. , , , IPO, .

8. IPO. , :

Y = + 1EPS + 2BV + 3SOC + 4ROE + 5IOE + 6ROI + 7LR + 8LN (SZ) + 9RP + 10DX.

:

Y: , ;

: 0, Y;

1 - 10: , ;

EPS: , / ;

BV: , / ;

SOC: , , ;

ROE: , / ;

IOE: , ;

ROI: ;

LR: , ;

SZ: .

RP: ;

DX: .

, , , , , , , 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 9 10 , , , , 3, 7 8 , .

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35.  .. ( ).-.: -, 1998.

36.  .., .. . . .: , 2004. - 347 .

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62. Welch,I, 1989,sSeasoned Offerings, Imitation Costs, and the Underpricing of Initial Public Offeringst, Journal of Finance 44, p421-449

1. ( )

( )

 lot winning ratei%j

i%j

P/E

600521

???

22.06

17.57

15.55

54425

0.05

0.35

1.37

0.78

20

90

600039

lH?

9.07

9.82

6.87

68700

0.12

0.4

1.94

0.46

15

100

600481

onj?

10.60

11.73

7.24

57920

0.1

0.2614

1.15

0.36

20

100

600251

10.76

7.67

5.75

23000

0.06

0.6341

1.85

0.29

20

90

600490

ȍb

14.73

10.14

7

21000

0.05

0.3947

2.16

0.35

20

80

600031

OdH

23.67

30.6

15.56

93360

0.08

0.25

2.62

1.16

13

80

600271

qVM

29.13

22.54

23.04

96768

0.06

0.2593

2.86

1.36

17

100

600546

12.75

7.89

10.51

42040

0.06

0.3636

1.74

0.53

20

40

600428

O?

7.30

5.78

2.6

39000

0.17

0.2362

1.09

0.13

20

90

600517

uM?a

12.73

9.12

6.3

15750

0.04

0.3132

1.49

0.32

20

90

600469

7.39

4.3

4.3

32250

0.1

0.2941

1.49

0.32

14

30

600184

V?

10.71

8.75

6.14

18420

0.05

0.4285

2.23

0.32

19

40

600976

?

16.47

13.62

11.6

40600

0.04

0.4563

6.33

0.58

20

90

600460

m?L

21.73

17.4

11.6

30160

0.09

0.3666

2.2

0.58

20

90

600408

׏W?

9.87

7.64

5.09

35630

0.07

0.3043

1.53

0.25

20

30

600513

????

18.56

9.53

7.88

15760

0.05

0.3333

2.13

0.39

20

90

600343

qV?O

12.07

6.8

3.68

23920

0.04

0.3514

1.22

0.18

20

60

600459

???

14.79

9.79

6.8

27200

0.08

0.4654

2.12

0.35

19

80

600409

OFH

8.43

6.6

6

60000

0.08

0.2857

1.63

0.3

20

100

600423

B?

8.87

8.2

6.96

41760

0.06

0.4088

1.87

0.41

17

80

600352

]?

11.2

13.1

8.51

48507

0.08

0.2511

1.45

0.61

14

90

600348

?V\

9.08

13

8.2

123000

0.31

0.3118

1.89

0.52

16

100

600487

ʌ?

10.71

12

8

39200

0.12

0.2775

2.15

0.48

20

100

600406

?n

15.61

10.1

10.39

41560

0.07

0.367

2.22

0.52

20

90

600477

Y??

15.05

11.8

11.24

28100

0.1

0.3231

2.77

0.84

13

80

600570

P?l

19.95

16.2

15.53

26401

0.05

0.25

1.99

0.78

20

70

600249

??

13.4

15.9

11.38

68280

0.04

0.4

4.15

0.57

20

40

600387

Cz?

12.93

7.8

5.2

31200

0.08

0.303

2.06

0.26

20

100

600325

C??

13.93

13.2

7.03

42180

0.07

0.3

3.2

0.40

17

90

600035

^V

6.09

4.5

3

84000

0.25

0.3

2.18

0.18

17

70

600463

`?

13.49

12.4

6

24000

0.05

0.2857

1.95

0.32

19

90

600543

??

10.72

8

5.68

31808

0.06

0.4046

2.32

0.32

18

60

2.

i%j

( )

i%j

600401

]??

12.19

24.48

0.50

2.15

0.48

0.2473

24000

0.3931

50

0.13

600507

?Oѥ

8.63

62.32

0.57

2.02

0.48

0.239

32500

0.4

70

0.18

600403

??

12.46

35.45

0.51

1.25

0.34

0.301

20010

0.3132

60

0.16

600517

uM?a

12.73

2.87

0.61

1.49

0.315

0.2303

15750

0.367

90

0.17

600406

?n

15.61

21.14

0.58

2.22

0.5195

0.2337

41560

0.2941

90

0.22

600469

7.39

32.95

0.69

1.95

0.215

0.1171

32250

0.1535

30

0.18

600021

C?O

8.67

8.96

0.42

3.48

0.3132

0.0916

139200

0.4285

100

0.23

600184

V?

10.71

6.07

0.62

2.228

0.317

0.1873

18420

0.3231

40

0.11

600477

Y??

15.05

127.11

0.80

2.77

0.84

0.4127

28100

0.2077

80

0.10

600900

??O

6.18

-1.27

0.10

1.55

0.239

0.0446

100180

0.375

40

0.16

600527

]썂?

9.42

4.09

0.43

1.63

0.378

0.2321

16560

0.3737

100

0.16

600545

Vd錚

8.6

96.05

0.70

1.86

0.3017

0.1625

35760

0.339

90

0.16

600476

?

11.99

33.57

0.59

1.63

0.28

0.1724

18130

0.25

70

0.14

600570

P?l

19.95

-20.42

0.46

1.99

0.777

0.3231

26401

0.2619

70

0.30

600446

?

16.13

15.03

0.47

1.3

0.665

0.5117

23598

0.4

70

0.25

600340

ˌ?

8.92

27.62

0.44

2.01

0.365

0.2117

29200

0.3333

80

0.20

600540

V?ѥ

9.35

10.42

0.57

2.2

0.43

0.2015

33350

0.4033

80

0.30

600354

??

11.16

26.87

0.50

2.32

0.3074

0.1434

42600

0.4

80

0.20

600249

??

13.4

18.49

0.45

4.15

0.5701

0.1441

68280

0.303

40

0.14

600387

Cz?

12.93

28.6

0.69

2.06

0.26

0.0374

31200

0.3

100

0.09

600444

ʊ?

18.6

56.43

0.66

2.24

0.48

0.215

15090

0.3

80

0.13

600325

C??

13.93

40.4

0.52

3.2

0.402

0.1258

42180

0.3529

90

0.23

600493

???

7.75

31.15

0.49

1.67

0.268

0.1862

31500

0.349

50

0.15

600438

ʈЌ?

12.21

107.22

0.67

2.31

0.477

0.2362

45000

0.325

50

0.18

600452

??O

12.42

11.13

0.28

2.83

0.2445

0.1267

25428

0.4255

100

0.30

600470

ZH

8.064

43.1

0.59

2.45

0.24

0.0963

33600

0.362

70

0.15

600035

^V

6.09

15.07

0.17

2.18

0.18

0.0988

84000

0.3

70

0.31

600479

??

35.96

10.95

0.17

5.71

0.18

0.2308

41490

0.2143

90

0.35

600284

Y??

11.01

70.94

0.63

1.75

0.285

0.1618

38800

0.354

90

0.31

600463

`?

13.49

24.34

0.42

1.95

0.32

0.0879

24000

0.2857

90

0.14

600594

v??

26.67

36.87

0.6

3.82

0.11

0.1133

28800

0.2985

70

0.32

600543

??

10.72

12.09

0.57

2.32

0.32

0.1375

31808

0.4046

60

0.10

600455

??

20.66

47.34

0.48

2

0.414

0.2073

18172

0.3512

90

0.16

600405

?O

20.26

-4.2

0.56

1.91

0.42

0.2197

24870

0.345

90

0.12

600467

D

12.72

22.98

0.47

1.91

0.38

0.1979

42000

0.333

80

0.50

600960

?{

16

21.1

0.67

3.19

0.51

0.1605

32000

0.3685

100

0.18

600969

????

13.08

18.57

0.59

2

0.28

0.1383

38360

0.3329

70

0.23

600572

N?

14.62

10.16

0.59

2.44

0.4123

0.1687

33000

0.2915

80

0.35

600988

B??

16.18

-8.03

0.64

1.84

0.47

0.2559

22700

0.276

80

0.19

600976

?

16.67

22.77

0.45

6.33

0.58

0.0921

40600

0.4563

90

0.35

600497

???

15

2.05

0.73

2.05

0.406

0.1982

40040

0.4375

80

0.24

600986

??

11.96

13.66

0.54

3.62

0.43

0.12

33540

0.2792

80

0.10

600410

?`Ѧ

22.82

13.93

0.56

3.01

0.866

0.1012

41136

0.2553

70

0.16

600985

?

10.41

6.63

0.49

1.85

0.28

0.1442

20000

0.4444

60

0.15

600990

l??l

18.06

71.47

0.49

2.47

0.494

0.1995

19580

0.3402

60

0.15

600114

?g?

14.54

21.33

0.63

2.29

0.72

0.1966

45000

0.402

50

0.19

600980

k?ϧ

12.17

4.54

0.44

1.99

0.328

0.1649

22960

0.35

100

0.13

600992

??ѥ

9.81

9.7

0.57

1.79

0.44

0.1968

51800

0.426

80

0.19

600993

???

23.14

26.17

0.37

6.18

0.12

0.1942

28998

0.352

70

0.35

600967

k??

10.53

70.92

0.67

1.93

0.43

0.2204

36000

0.3846

80

0.18

600491

??

19.99

43.13

0.8

5.36

0.104

0.1938

47824

0.2593

100

0.10

600963

x???

8.05

19

0.63

2.85

0.42

0.1675

53520

0.4448

80

0.17

600495

W??

8.77

11.86

0.47

1.97

0.32

0.1644

25560

0.3887

80

0.18

600483

?

5.8

9.14

0.51

2.81

0.22

0.0784

35200

0.416

100

0.10

600461

^鐅?

10.41

11.67

0.09

3.03

0.283

0.149

27500

0.3571

90

0.23

600997

??ѥ

10.9

13.84

0.51

2.18

0.41

0.1886

105000

0.3074

80

0.31

600421

tV

13.25

17.02

0.55

1.72

0.31

0.183

27900

0.3309

70

0.35

600966

???

13.97

42.61

0.76

6.24

0.6

0.0287

78400

0.3889

70

0.17

600975

V?

15.58

13.39

0.33

2.24

0.55

0.2453

32200

0.3495

70

0.00

600991

?T?

15.02

52.5

0.71

5.06

0.108

0.0684

109980

0.1947

100

0.19

600995

R?O

14

14.4

0.6

3.88

0.51

0.1322

29520

0.4111

70

0.23

600420

?N?

13.61

60

0.45

2.11

0.432

0.2053

26664

0.3735

90

0.35

600962

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59.6

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23.58

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