Political opposition in contemporary Russia: socio-political cleavages and party system in comparative perspective

Concept and measurement political opposition. Hybrid regime: approaches, roots. Configuration of the political opposition in Russia due to the 2018 presidential elections' content analysis. The structural factors of the incumbent-oppositional relations.

Рубрика Политология
Вид дипломная работа
Язык английский
Дата добавления 07.12.2019
Размер файла 186,1 K

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The Appendix

a)The sources

As the sources for the content-analysis we used official candidate's programs, published at the official web-sites of the candidates or their parties. Among them are:

· "The Russian choice" program by Sergey Baburin from baburin2018.ru

· "The 100 steps" program by Vladimir Zhirinovsky from ldpr.ru

· "The 20 steps" program by Pavel Grudinin from CPRF.ru

· "The road towards the future" program by Grigory Yavlinsky from 2018.yavlinsky.ru

· "The 10 Stalin strikes" program by Maxim Suraykin from komros.info

· "The 123 hard steps" program by Ksenia Sobczak from sobchakprotovvseh.ru

· "The growth strategy" program by Boris Titov from boristitov2018.ru

· The Aleksey Navalny's program from 2018.navalny.com

The most of the programs are presented in the text form, except the Boris Titov's one, which has a form of presentation. Most of the programs posses the laconic and clear program structure, however there are additional rhetoric declarations connected with the programs of Sergey Baburin, Grigory Yavlinsky and Maksim Suraykin.

As the sources for the debate content-analysis we will use the video recordings of the two public debates with Vladimir Solovyev, translated on "Russia-1" the central channel, devoted to two fundamental issues:

· The representative issues of the economy and the financial policy of Russia (01/03/2018)

· The international policy, global threats and the sanctions (14.03/2018)

b)The units of the analysis

The units of the program content analysis would be:

· If there are no discrepancies within the program paragraph- the program paragraph itself.

· If there are the discrepancies within the program paragraph and, despite the unity of the plot, there are qualitative difference within the program paragraph- the logical part of the paragraph.

· If the program paragraph is too broad and declarative or too partial and non-representative- several similar program paragraphs.

· If there are no exact program paragraphs in a massive textual excerpt of the text- the certain except itself and the program paragraphs, which could be deducted within it.

The units of the debate content analysis would be:

· The logical part of the speech, which connects a pack of the critical estimations, value & ideological declarations or obvious program paragraphs.

· An act or the words, which represents the strong attitude towards some problem, ideology or the position of another candidate.

· An act of interaction with another candidate

c)The algorithm for the cleavage table calculation

The calculation of the program statements, belonging to that or another dimension, problem or orientation would be made in a such way:

· Firstly, using the methodological scheme, we detect the list of the problems, which are consisted in the certain program statement or another unit of the analysis. We also delete the dimensions, that had been touched from the initial full list of the examined dimensions in the particular row of the table.

· Secondly, the articulated position of the candidate on the certain problem is formulated in the conventional way in the problems&alternatives row.

· Thirdly, every time when the problem is mentioned in the program, the single number (1) is added to next to its formulation. All the single numbers for the single problem are summed up. However, if the problem is mentioned within the opposite position for the cleavage alternatives, it's single number is not summed up, but is subtracted from the general number.

· Finally, we make the ranging of the problems according to the score they had gained. The problems, which finally had gained less than two single numbers, are ignored and not mentioned.

Among the demands, which are mentioned, we try to sort the most articulated within the program, unconventional from the point of view of the current status-quo and significant in a case of their implementation within the current political system, political course and regime. The samples of the conventional formulations for the value&ideological row taken from the particular part of the methodological scheme.

d)The results of the cleavage table calculation

Table 18

Candidate

Dimensions ignored

Problems &Alternatives

Demands

Value & Ideological Orientations

Sergey Baburin

Center and periphery

Protectionism-5

Left social-5

Ethnocentrism-4

Resignation of D.Medvedev cabinet

Stop of the financial optimization of the social programs

Tough protectionist measures against the migrants

Orientation on the (non-equal) integration with the Asian countries

Traditionalism

(soviet-imperial synthesis)

Russian ethnocentrism

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

-

Protectionism-7

Right economic-6

Ethnocentrism-5

Left social-4

State culture-2

Unitarism-2

Russian transformation to the unitarian state

Duma control over the government

Reduction of the taxes, extra privileges and guarantees for businessmen and house owners

Constitution paragraph about the supreme status of Russian ethnos

Death penalty for the brutal crimes, amnesty for all other

Nationalization of the trade companies, limitation of the currency exchange

Ethnical Russian nationalism

Populism

(right-left mix)

Pavel Grudinin

International policy

Ethnical

Left social-5

Left economic-4

Protectionism-3

Nationalization of the big business

Exit from WTO, increase of the state interventionism into the economy

Classical welfare state revival

Limitation of the president's power by Duma

Non-articulated (national left)

Grigory Yavlinsky

-

Democracy-12

Peaceful policy-7

Prowestern policy-5

Free trade-5

Right economic-4

National policy-3

Right social-3

Decentralization-3

Isolationism-2

Free culture-2

Federalism-2

Withdraw of troops from Ukraine and Syria, rejection of the imperial policy and shift to the peaceful cooperation on the international field

Rejection of the soviet imperial identity

Transition to the market-social state

Mass transfer of the free land and houses in the private property

The disposable compensation tax for the previously privatized enterprises

Extra subsidies for the regions and the provinces

Increase of the transparency and accountability of the governance

Non-articulated (liberalism)

Modernization ideology

Prowestern orientation

Maxim Suraykin

Ethnical

Autocracy-10

Left social-9

Left economic-6

State culture-5

Protectionism-4

Secular-2

Expansionism-2

State of emergency declaration, monopolization of the governance, repressions against the political and business elites

The restoration of the USSR, soviet state structure, communist ideology, adoption of the new soviet constitution

Nationalization of all the property, except the personnel one and the small business enterprises

Introduction of the fixed-prices policy

Introduction of the censorship and the criminal justice for the ideological dissent

Introduction of the death penalty, toughening of the criminal punishment

Communism (socialism, Marxism-Stalinism)

Soviet identity

Ksenia Sobczak

Democracy-24

Right economic-8

Federalism-7

Peaceful policy-6

Decentralization-5

Prowestern policy-3

Free culture-3

Right social-2

Secular-2

Transition to the parliament rule

The new federal treaty with the redistribution of more budget and political power towards the regions

Economic liberalization, privatization of the state corporations

Market-oriented social reforms, decrease of the administrative load

Liquidation of the state infrastructure of the monopoly over the national culture, dissolution of the Ministries of Culture and Education

Adoption of the EU standards in the economy and the administrative practice

Peace with Ukraina and new referendum in Crimea

Economic integration with the EU

Boris Titov

Culture and religion

Ethnical

Right economic-12

Right social-5

Peaceful policy-2

Free trade-2

Democracy-2

Sustained growth policy

Moderate economic liberalization and judiciary reform

Innovation adoption policy

Economic integration

Non-articulated

Modernization ideology

Aleksey Navalny

-

Right economic-10

Democracy-7

Federalism-5

Peaceful policy-3

Free trade-3

Decrease of the official stuff, withdraw business from the administrative control, dissolution of the control departments

Demonopolization of the economy, privatization of the state corporations

Creation of the National Welfare Fund to accumulate the commodity rent taxes, the disposable compensation tax for the previously privatized enterprises

Transition from the classical social state to the addressed social help, fixation of the property rights on the pension accounts and the % of GDP quotas of the compulsory social spending

Ratification of the UN anticorruption convention, creation of the Anticorruption department, lustration

Liberalization of the criminal justice, the security services and the judiciary reforms

Restoration of the developed federalism model

Political liberalization, the increase of Duma power

e) The algorithm for the type of the opposition table calculation:

To count the range and the median for the presidential candidates we need firstly to count the number of the program statements (or another units of the analysis), which consist of the attributes, that marks the certain opposition type, according to the particular methodological scheme. Then, we should count and mark with the particular color:

· The range for the particular candidate is defined as the categories, which type of opposition grades are more than the sum of all the candidate's type of opposition grades, divided on five (5). The categories between the particular categories are also included in the range.

· The median is calculated by the consisted mutual substation of the particular candidate's scores of the opposite type of opposition categories from each other. The least category, which score hadn't been substrate entirely, is the median. After the particular calculation, needed for the first type-of-opposition table, we can count the % scores for the second and then mark them: With the green color, if they are 66% or more for the doubled categories and 33% or more for the single. With the yellow color, if they are more than 33% for the doubled categories and 17% or more for the single

· With the red color, if they are less than 33% for the doubled categories and less than 17% for the single

For the third type of opposition table we should chose between "Yes", "Practically Yes", "Practically No" and "No", and then mark "Yes" with the green color, "No" with the red color, and other two type of answers- with the yellow one.

f) The results of the kind-of-opposition tables calculation

Table 19

Candidate

Principal opposition marks

Classical opposition marks

Personal opposition marks

Semi-opposition marks

Non-opposition marks

Sergey Baburin

0.5

2.5

3

5

5

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

2

8.5

10

18

21

Pavel Grudinin

2

8.5

5

6

8

Grigory Yavlinsky

12

17.5

9

9.5

5

Maxim Suraykin

9

11

5

5

3

Ksenia Sobczak

26

29

20

18

16

Boris Titov

0

7

2

7

19.5

Aleksey Navalny

23

26

6

7

4.5

Table 20

Candidate

% of principal and classic opposition marks

% of semi- and non-opposition marks

% of only principal opposition marks

Sergey Baburin

19%

63%

3%

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

18%

66%

3%

Pavel Grudinin

36%

47%

7%

Grigory Yavlinsky

56%

27%

23%

Maxim Suraykin

61%

24%

27%

Ksenia Sobczak

50%

31%

24%

Boris Titov

20%

73%

0%

Aleksey Navalny

74%

17%

35%

Table 21

Candidate

Vladimir Putin is the rival

International problems are induced by the international policy itself

Current Russia is a country of the law and socio-economic injustice

Sergey Baburin

No

No

Practically Yes

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

No

No

Practically No

Pavel Grudinin

Practically No

No

Practically Yes

Grigory Yavlinsky

Practically Yes

Yes

Practically No

Maxim Suraykin

Practically Yes

Practically No

Yes

Ksenia Sobczak

Practically No

Yes

Practically Yes

Boris Titov

No

No

No

Aleksey Navalny

Yes

Yes

Yes

g)The results of the political debate calculation

1)The economical and financial policy debates:

Table 22

Candidate

Critics in the address of Vladimir Putin

Principal critics of the incumbent

Instrumental critics of the incumbent

Support of the incumbent's policy and its correlation towards more soft and flexible

Support of the incumbent's policy and its correlation towards more hard and rigid

Sergey Baburin

1

1

1

0

2

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

0

0

2

3

2

Pavel Grudinin

0

4

1

0

0

Grigory Yavlinsky

2

1

3

1

0

Maxim Suraykin

0

3

0

0

0

Ksenia Sobczak

1

4

2

0

0

Boris Titov

0,5

0

3

2

0

Table 23

Candidate

Distinctions in the dimensions and problems mentioned

Distinctions in the demands and the alternatives protected

Distinctions in the level of the oppositional radicalism

Objects of the soft critics between the opponents

Objects of the tough critics between the opponents

Sergey Baburin

-

-

Critics in address of Vladimir Putin

Pavel Grudinin

Ksenia Sobjak

-

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

-

Left economical

-

Sergey Baburin

Pavel Grudinin

Maxim Suraykin

Boris Titov

-

Pavel Grudinin

The Political and of the Internal policy dimensions are mentioned

-

-

Maxim Suraykin

Sergey Baburin

Grigory Yavlinsky

-

Grigory Yavlinsky

-

Left social

-

-

-

Maxim Suraykin

-

-

-

Ksenia Sobjak

Boris Titov

Grigory Yavlinsky

-

Ksenia Sobczak

-

Left social

-

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

Maxim Suraykin

Pavel Grudinin

-

Boris Titov

-

-

-

Maxim Suraykin

-

2)The International policy debates:

Table 24

Candidates

Critics in theaddress of Vladimir Putin

Principal critics of the incumbent

Instrumental critics of the incumbent

Support of the incumbent's policy and its correlation towards more soft and flexible

Support of the incumbent's policy and its correlation towards more hard and rigid

Sergey Baburin

0

2(not for the issue)

1.5

2(not for the issue)

1

1

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

0

0

1

1 (not for the issue)

0

6

Pavel Grudinin

2(not for the issue)

1.5

1(not of the issue)

1

1 (not for the issue)

2

3

Grigory Yavlinsky

1.5

1.5

5

3

0

Maxim Suraykin

0

2 (not for the issue)

1

0

3

Ksenia Sobczak

1

1(not for the issue)

3

3

1

0

Boris Titov

0

0

1

2

3

Table 25

Candidates

Distinctions in the dimensions and problems mentioned

Distinctions in the demands and the alternatives protected

Distinctions in the level of the oppositional radicalism

Objects of the soft critics between the opponents

Objects of the tough critics between the opponents

Sergey Baburin

The Political dimension is mentioned

Restoration of the political structures of the Union State (USSR)

More of the critics, less of the demands

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

Pavel Grudinin

Ksenia Sobczak

Ksenia Sobczak

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

-

Military policy

Antiwestern orientation

-

-

Grigory Yavlinsky

Ksenia Sobczak

Pavel Grudinin

The International policy and the Ethnical dimensions are mentioned

Antiwestern orientation

-

-

Ksenia Sobczak

Grigory Yavlinsky

-

-

-

-

-

Maxim Suraykin

-

-

-

-

Ksenia Sobczak

Ksenia Sobczak

-

-

-

Pavel Grudinin

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

Maxim Suraykin

Pavel Grudinin

Boris Titov

-

Antiwestern orientation

-

-

Ksenia Sobczak

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